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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paysandu v Portuguesa RJ: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Leonidas Sodre de Castro

Paysandu

WW
3–1
FT

Portuguesa RJ

WWDWL
Paysandu 49%Draw 26%Portuguesa RJ 26% Expected goals 1.15 – 0.85
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaysandu to win ✓49% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.17

Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Portuguesa RJ travel to face Paysandu on Thursday 12 March in the Copa Do Brasil, with Leonidas Sodre de Castro the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Portuguesa RJ, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maracanã, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.1 xG, Portuguesa RJ 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 49%, draw 26%, Portuguesa RJ 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–0 Portuguesa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paysandu49%fair 2.06 · @1.78
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Portuguesa RJ26%fair 3.87 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.15Paysandu xG
0.85Portuguesa RJ xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Paysandu 1.1 – 0.8 Portuguesa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaysandu to win ✓49%2.061.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betPaysandu (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapPortuguesa RJ +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.601.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.221.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scorePaysandu to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paysandu / FT Paysandu ✓24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.17–

Recent results

Paysandu – last 2

WW
22 Febvs Castanhal1–0W
20 Febvs Tuna Luso5–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portuguesa RJ – last 5

WWDWL
5 Marvs Maracanã1–0W
3 Marvs Sampaio Corrêa RJ2–0W
26 Feb@ Nova Iguaçu1–1D
23 Feb@ CFRJ Maricá2–0W
21 Feb@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ2–3L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Portuguesa RJ.

Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
– Manaus FC0 Londrina0 Pens 4–5 129%5.20X24%3.45248%1.65 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Madureira0 Águia de Marabá1 144%1.98X27%3.10230%3.85 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.45 ✗
– Vila Nova1 Operario Ferroviario1 Pens 5–4 162%1.33X22%4.20216%9.80 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Maranhão0 Ceara1 131%3.70X27%3.20242%1.98 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Operario-PR2 Capital Brasilia0 154%1.39X24%3.95222%8.40 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
– Sousa0 CRB2 124%3.95X27%3.10249%1.94 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ?

On our numbers Paysandu have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portuguesa RJ 26%.

How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Portuguesa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ?

Paysandu vs Portuguesa RJ (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.