Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Maranhão to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✓42% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.19
Maranhão vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Maranhão v Ceara in the Copa Do Brasil.
Current form
Ceara, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Primavera SP, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maranhão 1.1 xG, Ceara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maranhão 31%, draw 27%, Ceara 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Maranhão to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maranhão 1–1 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maranhão31%fair 3.22 · @3.70
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
Ceara42%fair 2.40 · @1.98
2.19Expected goals
1.06Maranhão xG
1.13Ceara xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.1 – 1.1 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
42%
2.40
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Draw no bet
Ceara (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Maranhão +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ceara to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.19
–
Recent results
Maranhão – last 2
WD
25 Feb
@ São Luiz
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs IAPE
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 3
WWW
27 Feb
vs Primavera SP
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Floresta
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Floresta
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maranhão vs Ceara?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ceara 42%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Ceara?
Maranhão vs Ceara (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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