Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLondrina to win ✗48% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Manaus FC vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 March the Copa Do Brasil brings Manaus FC against Londrina at Arena da Amazônia. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manaus FC 1.2 xG, Londrina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manaus FC 29%, draw 24%, Londrina 48%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manaus FC 1–1 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manaus FC29%fair 3.49 · @5.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
Londrina48%fair 2.10 · @1.65
2.50Expected goals
1.24Manaus FC xG
1.26Londrina xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Manaus FC 1.2 – 1.3 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Londrina to win✗
48%
2.10
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Londrina (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Manaus FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Londrina to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Londrina / FT Londrina✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Manaus FC – last 2
WW
25 Feb
vs São Raimundo AM
3–0
W
20 Feb
@ Nacional AM
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Londrina – last 2
WW
25 Feb
vs Penedense
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manaus FC and Londrina.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manaus FC vs Londrina?
On our numbers Manaus FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Londrina 48%.
How many goals will there be in Manaus FC vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manaus FC vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Manaus FC 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Manaus FC vs Londrina?
Manaus FC vs Londrina (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Amazônia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.