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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Croatia v England: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stadion Rujevica

Croatia

LWLWW
0–7
FT

England

WLWLD
Croatia 21%Draw 20%England 58% Expected goals 1.40 – 2.35
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultEngland to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00

Croatia vs England: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Croatia v England in the UEFA Nations League, played at Stadion Rujevica. In the table, Croatia are 3rd on 3 points after 4 matches; England are 2nd with 9.

Current form

Croatia, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Spain, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

England, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Czechia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended England 4–2 Croatia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.4 xG, England 2.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 21%, draw 20%, England 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–2 England. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Croatia21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.70
England58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
3.75Expected goals
1.40Croatia xG
2.35England xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–26%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Croatia 1.4 – 2.4 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland to win ✓58%1.721.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.60
Draw no betEngland (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapCroatia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
First team to scoreEngland to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultEngland ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT England / FT England ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.00–

Recent results

Croatia – last 6

LWLWWL
29 Sep@ Spain1–4L
26 Sep@ Czechia2–1W
3 Jul@ Portugal1–2L
27 Junvs Ghana2–1W
24 Jun@ Panama1–0W
17 Jun@ England2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

England – last 6

WLWLDW
29 Sep@ Czechia2–0W
26 Sepvs Spain2–3L
18 Jul@ France6–4W
15 Julvs Argentina1–2L
11 Jul@ Norway1–1D
6 Jul@ Mexico3–2W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026England v Croatia4–2
Croatia vs England head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain4400+712
2England4301+119
3Croatia4103-103
4Czechia4004-80

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Finland2 Albania1 141%2.30X23%3.00236%2.90 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.95 ✓
FT Belarus4 San Marino0 181%1.07X14%10.0026%29.00 2.5–0.5xG NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.36 ✓
FT Iceland3 Bulgaria0 165%1.40X18%4.00216%7.00 1.5–0.5xG 1Iceland to win 65%@1.40 ✓
FT Estonia1 Luxembourg0 136%2.88X25%2.90239%2.45 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗
FT Spain3 Czechia1 177%1.05X15%11.0028%29.00 2.9–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.50 ✓
FT Switzerland2 Slovenia1 171%1.30X21%4.8028%9.00 1.7–0.3xG 1Switzerland to win 71%@1.30 ✓
FT FYR Macedonia0 Scotland2 114%4.50X22%3.30265%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Scotland to win 65%@1.75 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Croatia vs England?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Croatia vs England?

On our numbers Croatia have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and England 58%.

How many goals will there be in Croatia vs England?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs England?

Our predicted score is Croatia 1–2 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Croatia vs England?

Croatia vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rujevica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.