Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Belarus vs San Marino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marino travel to face Belarus on Saturday 3 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Illovszky Rudolf Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Belarus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; San Marino are 4th with 0.
Current form
Belarus, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Finland, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
San Marino, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Albania, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Belarus, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for San Marino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belarus 2.5 xG, San Marino 0.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belarus 81%, draw 14%, San Marino 6%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belarus 2–0 San Marino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belarus81%fair 1.24 · @1.07
Draw14%fair 7.38 · @10.00
San Marino6%fair 17.09 · @29.00
3.00Expected goals
2.48Belarus xG
0.52San Marino xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
3–013%
1–012%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Belarus 2.5 – 0.5 San Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belarus to win✓
81%
1.24
1.07
Double chance
Belarus or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.36
Draw no bet
Belarus (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Belarus -1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Belarus to score first✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Belarus ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belarus / FT Belarus✗
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Recent results
Belarus – last 6
DLDWWW
29 Sep
@ Finland
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Albania
0–2
L
9 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
2–2
D
5 Jun
vs Syria
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Armenia
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Cyprus
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Marino – last 5
LLLLD
29 Sep
vs Albania
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Finland
0–7
L
9 Jun
@ Azerbaijan
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Bangladesh
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Andorra
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belarus and San Marino.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Belarus vs San Marino?
On our numbers Belarus have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 14% and San Marino 6%.
How many goals will there be in Belarus vs San Marino?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belarus vs San Marino?
Our predicted score is Belarus 2–0 San Marino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Belarus vs San Marino?
Belarus vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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