Czechia travel to face Spain on Saturday 3 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Nuevo Carlos Tartiere the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Spain are 1st on 12 points after 4 matches; Czechia are 4th with 0. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spain, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Croatia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Czechia, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to England, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Czechia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spain 2.9 xG, Czechia 0.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 77%, draw 15%, Czechia 8%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.50 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 2–1 Czechia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain77%fair 1.31 · @1.05
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @11.00
Czechia8%fair 12.44 · @29.00
3.75Expected goals
2.85Spain xG
0.90Czechia xG
55%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
4–06%
From our goals model: Spain 2.9 – 0.9 Czechia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
77%
1.31
1.05
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Spain -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Spain to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✓
54%
1.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Spain – last 6
WWDWWW
29 Sep
vs Croatia
4–1
W
26 Sep
@ England
3–2
W
19 Jul
vs Argentina
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ France
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Belgium
2–1
W
6 Jul
@ Portugal
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Czechia – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Sep
vs England
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Croatia
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Mexico
0–3
L
18 Jun
vs South Africa
1–1
D
12 Jun
@ South Korea
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Czechia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.
Who will win Spain vs Czechia?
On our numbers Spain have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Czechia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Czechia?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Czechia?
Our predicted score is Spain 2–1 Czechia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Czechia?
Spain vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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