Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.47
Switzerland vs Slovenia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the UEFA Nations League brings Switzerland against Slovenia at Swissporarena. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Switzerland are 1st on 12 points after 4 matches; Slovenia are 2nd with 7.
Current form
Switzerland, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Scotland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Slovenia, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FYR Macedonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Switzerland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.6 for Slovenia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Switzerland 1.7 xG, Slovenia 0.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Switzerland 71%, draw 21%, Slovenia 8%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Switzerland to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Switzerland 1–0 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Switzerland71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.80
Slovenia8%fair 12.67 · @9.00
2.00Expected goals
1.65Switzerland xG
0.35Slovenia xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Switzerland 1.7 – 0.3 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Switzerland to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Double chance
Switzerland or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.60
Draw no bet
Switzerland (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Switzerland -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Switzerland to score first
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Switzerland ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.47
–
Recent results
Switzerland – last 6
WWDDWW
29 Sep
@ Scotland
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ FYR Macedonia
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Argentina
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs Colombia
0–0
D
3 Jul
vs Algeria
2–0
W
24 Jun
vs Canada
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Slovenia – last 5
WDLDW
29 Sep
vs FYR Macedonia
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Scotland
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Croatia
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Cyprus
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Montenegro
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Switzerland and Slovenia.
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Our pick is Switzerland to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Switzerland vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Switzerland have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Slovenia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Slovenia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Our predicted score is Switzerland 1–0 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Switzerland vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Swissporarena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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