Value bet: Faroe Islands to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFaroe Islands to win ✗39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 6 October the UEFA Nations League brings Kazakhstan against Faroe Islands at Astana Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kazakhstan are 4th on 2 points after 4 matches; Faroe Islands are 2nd with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kazakhstan, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Moldova, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Faroe Islands, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slovakia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kazakhstan 1.1 xG, Faroe Islands 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kazakhstan 36%, draw 25%, Faroe Islands 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Faroe Islands to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kazakhstan 1–1 Faroe Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kazakhstan36%fair 2.75 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.80
Faroe Islands39%fair 2.59 · @3.20
2.33Expected goals
1.14Kazakhstan xG
1.19Faroe Islands xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kazakhstan 1.1 – 1.2 Faroe Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
On our numbers Kazakhstan have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Faroe Islands 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Our predicted score is Kazakhstan 1–1 Faroe Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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