Belarus v Finland: numbers & prediction

Belarus vs Finland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Finland travel to face Belarus on Tuesday 6 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Illovszky Rudolf Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Belarus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Finland are 3rd with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Belarus, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over San Marino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Finland, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albania, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Finland 0–0 Belarus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belarus 0.9 xG, Finland 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Belarus 19%, draw 25%, Finland 56%.
• Lower-risk option: Finland or draw (81%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
• Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Finland or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belarus 0–1 Finland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.