Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Albania v San Marino: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Arena Kombëtare

Albania

LWWLL
2–1
FT

San Marino

LLLLL
Albania 80%Draw 12%San Marino 7% Expected goals 2.89 – 0.78
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlbania to win ✓80% · @1.03
Double chanceAlbania or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.79

Albania vs San Marino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Albania welcome San Marino to Arena Kombëtare for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Albania are 1st on 9 points after 4 matches; San Marino are 4th with 0.

Current form

Albania, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Finland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

San Marino, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Belarus, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Albania, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for San Marino.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended San Marino 0–3 Albania.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albania 2.9 xG, San Marino 0.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Albania 80%, draw 12%, San Marino 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albania 2–0 San Marino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albania80%fair 1.24 · @1.03
Draw12%fair 8.22 · @19.00
San Marino7%fair 13.43 · @51.00
3.67Expected goals
2.89Albania xG
0.78San Marino xG
49%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Albania 2.9 – 0.8 San Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbania to win ✓80%1.241.03
Double chanceAlbania or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.30
Draw no betAlbania (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapAlbania -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreAlbania to score first ✓77%1.30–
Half-time resultAlbania ahead at half-time ✓60%1.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albania / FT Albania ✓57%1.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.79–

Recent results

Albania – last 6

LWWLLL
3 Oct@ Finland1–2L
29 Sep@ San Marino3–0W
26 Sepvs Belarus2–0W
6 Junvs Luxembourg0–1L
3 Junvs Israel0–1L
31 Mar@ Ukraine0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Marino – last 6

LLLLLD
3 Oct@ Belarus0–4L
29 Sepvs Albania0–3L
26 Sepvs Finland0–7L
9 Jun@ Azerbaijan1–2L
5 Junvs Bangladesh1–2L
31 Marvs Andorra0–0D
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026San Marino v Albania0–3
Albania vs San Marino head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albania4301+59
2Belarus4211+37
3Finland4211+77
4San Marino4004-150

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kazakhstan2 Faroe Islands2 136%2.30X25%2.80239%3.20 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✓
FT Croatia1 Spain2 114%9.50X18%5.80268%1.22 1.6–3.2xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.75 ✓
FT England3 Czechia0 173%1.11X15%8.00213%19.00 2.8–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.10 ✗
FT Belarus1 Finland0 119%3.80X25%3.20256%1.91 0.9–1.7xG X2Finland or draw 81%@1.25 ✗
FT Moldova0 Slovakia4 111%7.50X23%4.40266%1.36 0.6–1.8xG 2Slovakia to win 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Estonia0 Iceland0 120%5.00X20%3.75261%1.57 0.5–1.3xG 2Iceland to win 61%@1.57 ✗
FT Luxembourg0 Bulgaria2 147%2.05X23%3.10230%3.50 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Switzerland3 FYR Macedonia0 174%1.10X18%9.0028%23.00 2.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albania vs San Marino?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Albania vs San Marino?

On our numbers Albania have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and San Marino 7%.

How many goals will there be in Albania vs San Marino?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albania vs San Marino?

Our predicted score is Albania 2–0 San Marino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Albania vs San Marino?

Albania vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Kombëtare.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.