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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moldova v Slovakia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Zimbru

Moldova

WDLDD
0–4
FT

Slovakia

DWWDW
Moldova 11%Draw 23%Slovakia 66% Expected goals 0.56 – 1.77
66%
Betarazi pick

Slovakia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultSlovakia to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceSlovakia or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Moldova vs Slovakia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moldova welcome Slovakia to Zimbru for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Moldova are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Slovakia are 1st with 10.

Current form

Moldova, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kazakhstan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Slovakia, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Faroe Islands, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Slovakia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Moldova.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Slovakia 2–0 Moldova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moldova 0.6 xG, Slovakia 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moldova 11%, draw 23%, Slovakia 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slovakia to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moldova 0–1 Slovakia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moldova11%fair 9.11 · @7.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.40
Slovakia66%fair 1.50 · @1.36
2.33Expected goals
0.56Moldova xG
1.77Slovakia xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%

From our goals model: Moldova 0.6 – 1.8 Slovakia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlovakia to win ✓66%1.501.36
Double chanceSlovakia or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.95
Draw no betSlovakia (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapSlovakia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSlovakia to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultSlovakia ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slovakia / FT Slovakia ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Moldova – last 6

WDLDDL
2 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–1W
29 Sepvs Faroe Islands1–1D
26 Sep@ Slovakia0–2L
9 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
5 Junvs Bulgaria2–2D
30 Mar@ Cyprus2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Slovakia – last 6

DWWDWW
2 Oct@ Faroe Islands1–1D
29 Sepvs Kazakhstan2–1W
26 Sepvs Moldova2–0W
5 Junvs Montenegro2–2D
1 Junvs Malta2–1W
31 Marvs Romania2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Slovakia v Moldova2–0
Moldova vs Slovakia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kazakhstan2 Faroe Islands2 136%2.30X25%2.80239%3.20 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✓
FT Croatia1 Spain2 114%9.50X18%5.80268%1.22 1.6–3.2xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.75 ✓
FT England3 Czechia0 173%1.11X15%8.00213%19.00 2.8–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.10 ✗
FT Albania2 San Marino1 180%1.03X12%19.0027%51.00 2.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.30 ✗
FT Belarus1 Finland0 119%3.80X25%3.20256%1.91 0.9–1.7xG X2Finland or draw 81%@1.25 ✗
FT Estonia0 Iceland0 120%5.00X20%3.75261%1.57 0.5–1.3xG 2Iceland to win 61%@1.57 ✗
FT Luxembourg0 Bulgaria2 147%2.05X23%3.10230%3.50 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✗
FT Switzerland3 FYR Macedonia0 174%1.10X18%9.0028%23.00 2.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moldova vs Slovakia?

Our pick is Slovakia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Moldova vs Slovakia?

On our numbers Moldova have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slovakia 66%.

How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Slovakia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Slovakia?

Our predicted score is Moldova 0–1 Slovakia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Moldova vs Slovakia?

Moldova vs Slovakia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.