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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moldova v Kazakhstan: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Zimbru

Moldova

LWDLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Kazakhstan

DLLDL
Moldova 34%Draw 27%Kazakhstan 39% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.41
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultKazakhstan to win39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.50

Moldova vs Kazakhstan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moldova welcome Kazakhstan to Zimbru for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Friday 13 November (18:00 WAT). In the table, Moldova are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Kazakhstan are 4th with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Moldova, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Slovakia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kazakhstan, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Faroe Islands, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Moldova, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Kazakhstan.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moldova 1.2 xG, Kazakhstan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moldova 34%, draw 27%, Kazakhstan 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moldova34%fair 2.92 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Kazakhstan39%fair 2.59 · @2.88
2.64Expected goals
1.24Moldova xG
1.41Kazakhstan xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Moldova 1.2 – 1.4 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MoldovaKazakhstan
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-14%+3%
Goals conceded vs average+23%+20%
Our expected goals here1.261.55

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKazakhstan to win39%2.592.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.762.10 ▲
Draw no betKazakhstan (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapMoldova +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.771.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.05
First team to scoreKazakhstan to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kazakhstan / FT Kazakhstan24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.50–

Recent results

Moldova – last 6

LWDLDD
6 Octvs Slovakia0–4L
2 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–1W
29 Sepvs Faroe Islands1–1D
26 Sep@ Slovakia0–2L
9 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
5 Junvs Bulgaria2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kazakhstan – last 6

DLLDLD
6 Octvs Faroe Islands2–2D
2 Octvs Moldova1–2L
29 Sep@ Slovakia1–2L
26 Sep@ Faroe Islands1–1D
9 Jun@ Hungary1–3L
6 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Kazakhstan v Moldova1–2
Moldova vs Kazakhstan head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Serbia Germany 115%8.00X21%6.00264%1.30 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.80
Netherlands Greece 154%1.50X23%4.50224%6.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.53
Slovakia Faroe Islands 162%1.36X22%4.50216%8.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 117%4.33X25%3.60258%1.80 0.7–1.6xG X2Iceland or draw 83%@1.20
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 112%14.00X24%5.15265%1.28 0.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia 133%2.15X29%3.10237%3.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 143%1.90X29%3.08228%5.20 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.32
Slovenia Switzerland 118%6.00X25%3.60257%1.60 0.8–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

On our numbers Moldova have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kazakhstan 39%.

How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Our predicted score is Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Moldova vs Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.