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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Slovenia v Switzerland: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Ljudski vrt

Slovenia

WLWDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Switzerland

WWWWD
Slovenia 18%Draw 25%Switzerland 57% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.63
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSwitzerland to win57% · @1.60
Double chanceSwitzerland or draw82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.57

Slovenia vs Switzerland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slovenia welcome Switzerland to Ljudski vrt for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Friday 13 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Slovenia are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Switzerland are 1st with 12.

Current form

Slovenia, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Scotland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Switzerland, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FYR Macedonia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Switzerland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Slovenia.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Slovenia 0.8 xG, Switzerland 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Slovenia 18%, draw 25%, Switzerland 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovenia 0–1 Switzerland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slovenia18%fair 5.68 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Switzerland57%fair 1.75 · @1.60
2.48Expected goals
0.85Slovenia xG
1.63Switzerland xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Slovenia 0.8 – 1.6 Switzerland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SloveniaSwitzerland
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average+2%+49%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-28%
Our expected goals here0.891.57

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwitzerland to win57%1.751.60
Double chanceSwitzerland or draw82%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.812.00 ▲
Draw no betSwitzerland (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapSlovenia +1.5 (Asian handicap)70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.08
First team to scoreSwitzerland to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Switzerland / FT Switzerland34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.57–

Recent results

Slovenia – last 6

WLWDLD
6 Oct@ Scotland2–1W
3 Oct@ Switzerland1–2L
29 Sepvs FYR Macedonia2–0W
26 Sepvs Scotland0–0D
7 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
4 Junvs Cyprus1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Switzerland – last 6

WWWWDD
6 Octvs FYR Macedonia3–0W
3 Octvs Slovenia2–1W
29 Sep@ Scotland3–0W
26 Sep@ FYR Macedonia3–0W
12 Jul@ Argentina1–1D
7 Julvs Colombia0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Switzerland v Slovenia2–1
Slovenia vs Switzerland head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland4400+1012
2Slovenia4211+27
3Scotland4112-24
4FYR Macedonia4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan 134%2.60X27%3.00239%2.88 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44
Serbia Germany 115%8.00X21%6.00264%1.30 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.80
Netherlands Greece 154%1.50X23%4.50224%6.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.53
Slovakia Faroe Islands 162%1.36X22%4.50216%8.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 117%4.33X25%3.60258%1.80 0.7–1.6xG X2Iceland or draw 83%@1.20
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 112%14.00X24%5.15265%1.28 0.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia 133%2.15X29%3.10237%3.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 143%1.90X29%3.08228%5.20 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?

On our numbers Slovenia have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Switzerland 57%.

How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs Switzerland?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Our predicted score is Slovenia 0–1 Switzerland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Slovenia vs Switzerland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.