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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Rheinpark Stadion

Liechtenstein

LDLLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Azerbaijan

WDDWW
Liechtenstein 12%Draw 24%Azerbaijan 65% Expected goals 0.48 – 1.31
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAzerbaijan to win65% · @1.28
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · @1.34
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–122% · fair 4.55

Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 November the UEFA Nations League brings Liechtenstein against Azerbaijan at Rheinpark Stadion. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Liechtenstein are 3rd on 1 points after 2 matches; Azerbaijan are 1st with 5.

Current form

Liechtenstein, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gibraltar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Azerbaijan, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lithuania, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Azerbaijan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Liechtenstein.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Azerbaijan 0–0 Liechtenstein.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liechtenstein 0.5 xG, Azerbaijan 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liechtenstein 12%, draw 24%, Azerbaijan 65%.
  • GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.34.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liechtenstein 0–1 Azerbaijan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liechtenstein12%fair 8.69 · @14.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @5.15
Azerbaijan65%fair 1.55 · @1.28
1.78Expected goals
0.48Liechtenstein xG
1.31Azerbaijan xG
40%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–122%
0–017%
0–214%
1–110%
1–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Liechtenstein 0.5 – 1.3 Azerbaijan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LiechtensteinAzerbaijan
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-25%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-26%
Our expected goals here0.651.22

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAzerbaijan to win65%1.551.28
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw88%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score60%1.661.34
Draw no betAzerbaijan (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapLiechtenstein +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals61%1.651.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals65%1.551.72 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals82%1.211.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.091.04
First team to scoreAzerbaijan to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–122%4.55–

Recent results

Liechtenstein – last 6

LDLLLL
5 Octvs Gibraltar0–2L
1 Oct@ Azerbaijan0–0D
27 Sep@ Malta0–2L
24 Sepvs Lithuania0–2L
7 Junvs Cyprus0–2L
4 Jun@ Andorra0–2L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Azerbaijan – last 6

WDDWWL
4 Octvs Lithuania1–0W
1 Octvs Liechtenstein0–0D
27 Sep@ Lithuania1–1D
23 Sepvs Tajikistan1–0W
9 Junvs San Marino2–1W
5 Junvs Malta0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein0–0
Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azerbaijan3120+15
2Lithuania3111+14
3Liechtenstein2011-21

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan 134%2.60X27%3.00239%2.88 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44
Serbia Germany 115%8.00X21%6.00264%1.30 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.80
Netherlands Greece 154%1.50X23%4.50224%6.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.53
Slovakia Faroe Islands 162%1.36X22%4.50216%8.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 117%4.33X25%3.60258%1.80 0.7–1.6xG X2Iceland or draw 83%@1.20
Luxembourg Estonia 133%2.15X29%3.10237%3.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 143%1.90X29%3.08228%5.20 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.32
Slovenia Switzerland 118%6.00X25%3.60257%1.60 0.8–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

On our numbers Liechtenstein have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Azerbaijan 65%.

How many goals will there be in Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

Our predicted score is Liechtenstein 0–1 Azerbaijan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?

Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Rheinpark Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.