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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martín Mendoza v Deportivo Rincon: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio General Jose de San Martin
San Martín Mendoza 45%Draw 30%Deportivo Rincon 25% Expected goals 1.15 – 0.78
75%
Betarazi pick

San Martín Mendoza or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.99

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Rincon travel to face San Martín Mendoza on Sunday 5 July in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio General Jose de San Martin the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, San Martín Mendoza are 23rd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

San Martín Mendoza, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Costa Brava, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Deportivo Rincon, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Mendoza 1.1 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Mendoza 45%, draw 30%, Deportivo Rincon 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Martín Mendoza or draw (75%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was San Martín Mendoza or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martín Mendoza45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon25%fair 4.02 · @3.70
1.93Expected goals
1.15San Martín Mendoza xG
0.78Deportivo Rincon xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

San Martín MendozaDeportivo Rincon
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-5%-1%
Goals conceded vs average+2%-9%
Our expected goals here1.040.72

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓45%2.222.05
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.62
Draw no betSan Martín Mendoza (draw no bet) ✓64%1.55–
Asian handicapDeportivo Rincon +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.671.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.05
First team to scoreSan Martín Mendoza to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martín Mendoza / FT San Martín Mendoza ✓25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.99–

Recent results

San Martín Mendoza – last 6

LWDWLL
28 Jun@ Costa Brava1–2L
21 Junvs Huracan Las Heras3–1W
7 Jun@ Atenas0–0D
31 Mayvs Cipolletti1–0W
17 May@ Argentino Monte Maíz1–4L
29 Mar@ Cipolletti0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

LLWLWW
27 Junvs Atenas0–1L
21 Jun@ Cipolletti1–2L
14 Junvs Juventud Unida Univ.2–1W
7 Jun@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–2L
17 Mayvs Costa Brava1–0W
5 Aprvs Argentino Monte Maíz2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Martín Mendoza and Deportivo Rincon.

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our pick is San Martín Mendoza or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Deportivo Rincon 25%.

How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.