Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Belgrano to win ✗53% · @1.42
Double chanceSportivo Belgrano or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Sportivo Belgrano v Independiente De Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Oscar C. Boero. In the table, Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with El Linqueño, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Douglas Haig, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Belgrano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Independiente De Chivilcoy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Belgrano 1.2 xG, Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Belgrano 53%, draw 30%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 17%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Belgrano53%fair 1.87 · @1.42
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @3.40
Independiente De Chivilcoy17%fair 5.98 · @8.00
1.84Expected goals
1.18Sportivo Belgrano xG
0.66Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Belgrano 1.2 – 0.7 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Belgrano
Independiente De Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-24%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-3%
Our expected goals here
0.89
0.68
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Belgrano to win✗
53%
1.87
1.42
Double chance
Sportivo Belgrano or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.44
Draw no bet
Sportivo Belgrano (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Independiente De Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Sportivo Belgrano to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Belgrano / FT Sportivo Belgrano✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DDWLWW
28 Jun
@ El Linqueño
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
24 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
LLDDDD
28 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
24 May
@ Atletico Escobar
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Belgrano and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Sportivo Belgrano have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Sportivo Belgrano vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Oscar C. Boero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
