Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpain to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Spain vs Serbia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Serbia travel to face Spain on Friday 27 March in the Friendlies, with Estadio de la Ceramica the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spain 2.3 xG, Serbia 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 69%, draw 19%, Serbia 12%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spain to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 2–0 Serbia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.70
Serbia12%fair 8.53 · @13.00
3.22Expected goals
2.29Spain xG
0.93Serbia xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spain 2.3 – 0.9 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Spain
Serbia
Attack vs Friendlies average
+3%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+27%
Our expected goals here
2.23
1.01
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Spain -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
Spain to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Spain
No recent results on record.
Serbia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Serbia.
Our pick is Spain to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spain vs Serbia?
On our numbers Spain have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Serbia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Serbia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Serbia?
Our predicted score is Spain 2–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Serbia?
Spain vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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