Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmerica-RN to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Retrô vs America-RN: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Retrô welcome America-RN to Arena Pernambuco for a Copa Do Nordeste fixture on Thursday 30 April (01:30 WAT).
Current form
Retrô, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferroviario, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
America-RN, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ABC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Retrô 1.1 xG, America-RN 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Retrô 35%, draw 26%, America-RN 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Retrô 1–1 America-RN. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Retrô35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
America-RN38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
2.38Expected goals
1.11Retrô xG
1.27America-RN xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Retrô 1.1 – 1.3 America-RN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America-RN to win✗
38%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.93
Draw no bet
America-RN (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Retrô +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
America-RN to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America-RN / FT America-RN✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Retrô – last 4
DLWL
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–3
L
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America-RN – last 6
LDLDWD
22 Apr
vs ABC
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs ABC
0–3
L
30 Mar
@ Jacuipense
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs ABC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Retrô and America-RN.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Retrô vs America-RN?
On our numbers Retrô have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and America-RN 38%.
How many goals will there be in Retrô vs America-RN?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Retrô vs America-RN?
Our predicted score is Retrô 1–1 America-RN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Retrô vs America-RN?
Retrô vs America-RN (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pernambuco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Arena Pernambuco
Piauí1
AO Itabaiana1
Maranhão1
Ceara3
Juazeirense1
ASA1
Jacuipense0
Imperatriz1
Fortaleza EC2
Sport Recife0
CRB3
Sousa0
Confiança2
Vitoria2
Botafogo PB1
Fluminense PI1