Sousa travel to face CRB on Thursday 30 April in the Copa Do Nordeste – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Current form
CRB, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fortaleza EC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sousa, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juazeirense, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sousa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for CRB.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CRB 1.7 xG, Sousa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CRB 53%, draw 26%, Sousa 21%.
Lower-risk option: CRB or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CRB 1–1 Sousa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CRB53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Sousa21%fair 4.76 · @3.75
2.70Expected goals
1.68CRB xG
1.02Sousa xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: CRB 1.7 – 1.0 Sousa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRB to win✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Double chance
CRB or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
CRB (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Sousa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
CRB to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
CRB – last 6
LLDLLL
23 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Juventude
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–3
L
9 Apr
@ ASA
0–2
L
2 Apr
vs Avai
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sousa – last 5
DWWWD
15 Apr
vs Juazeirense
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Confiança
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Pombal EC
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Campinense
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CRB and Sousa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CRB vs Sousa?
On our numbers CRB have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sousa 21%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Sousa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Sousa?
Our predicted score is CRB 1–1 Sousa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Sousa?
CRB vs Sousa (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Retrô2
America-RN1
Piauí1
AO Itabaiana1
Maranhão1
Ceara3
Juazeirense1
ASA1
Jacuipense0
Imperatriz1
Fortaleza EC2
Sport Recife0
Confiança2
Vitoria2
Botafogo PB1
Fluminense PI1