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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botafogo PB v Fluminense PI: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Botafogo PB

LDWLW
1–1
FT

Fluminense PI

DWLDL
Botafogo PB 65%Draw 24%Fluminense PI 12% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.70
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 50% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBotafogo PB to win ✗65% · @1.25
Double chanceBotafogo PB or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fluminense PI travel to face Botafogo PB on Thursday 30 April in the Copa Do Nordeste – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Botafogo PB, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Floresta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Fluminense PI, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CRB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Botafogo PB, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Fluminense PI.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo PB 1.7 xG, Fluminense PI 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo PB 65%, draw 24%, Fluminense PI 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.55.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo PB 1–0 Fluminense PI. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botafogo PB65%fair 1.54 · @1.25
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.60
Fluminense PI12%fair 8.68 · @11.00
2.42Expected goals
1.72Botafogo PB xG
0.70Fluminense PI xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Botafogo PB 1.7 – 0.7 Fluminense PI expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotafogo PB to win ✗65%1.541.25
Double chanceBotafogo PB or draw ✓88%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.002.55 ▲
Draw no betBotafogo PB (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapBotafogo PB -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBotafogo PB to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultBotafogo PB ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botafogo PB / FT Botafogo PB ✗39%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Botafogo PB – last 6

LDWLWW
25 Aprvs Floresta1–2L
22 Apr@ AO Itabaiana3–3D
12 Apr@ Ferroviária2–0W
8 Apr@ Sousa0–2L
4 Aprvs Barra1–0W
25 Mar@ Vitoria2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fluminense PI – last 6

DWLDLL
15 Aprvs CRB0–0D
8 Aprvs Piauí2–0W
29 Mar@ Confiança0–2L
25 Marvs Juazeirense1–1D
11 Mar@ Goias0–3L
22 Febvs Atlético Piauiense1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botafogo PB and Fluminense PI.

Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Retrô2 America-RN1 135%2.55X26%3.10238%2.55 1.1–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.42 ✓
FT Piauí1 AO Itabaiana1 140%2.70X28%3.00232%2.50 1.3–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Maranhão1 Ceara3 121%8.00X26%3.90254%1.40 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Juazeirense1 ASA1 130%2.45X28%2.88242%2.90 1.0–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Jacuipense0 Imperatriz1 148%1.95X28%3.10224%3.75 1.3–1.0xG 1XJacuipense or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Fortaleza EC2 Sport Recife0 148%1.95X27%3.10224%3.70 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT CRB3 Sousa0 153%1.95X26%3.10221%3.75 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Confiança2 Vitoria2 131%3.25X29%2.88241%2.25 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI?

On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fluminense PI 12%.

How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI?

Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–0 Fluminense PI, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI?

Botafogo PB vs Fluminense PI (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.