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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Confiança v Vitoria: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Confiança

LWWLW
2–2
FT

Vitoria

LDWWD
Confiança 31%Draw 29%Vitoria 41% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.43
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVitoria to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Confiança vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Confiança welcome Vitoria for a Copa Do Nordeste fixture on Thursday 30 April (01:30 WAT).

Current form

Confiança, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gremio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Vitoria, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Flamengo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.2 xG, Vitoria 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 31%, draw 29%, Vitoria 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–1 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Confiança31%fair 3.27 · @3.25
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.88
Vitoria41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
2.65Expected goals
1.22Confiança xG
1.43Vitoria xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Confiança 1.2 – 1.4 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitoria to win ✗41%2.452.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.93 ▲
Draw no betVitoria (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapConfiança +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreVitoria to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitoria / FT Vitoria ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Confiança – last 6

LWWLWL
21 Apr@ Gremio0–2L
9 Apr@ AO Itabaiana1–0W
29 Marvs Fluminense PI2–0W
26 Mar@ Sousa1–4L
12 Marvs Tombense2–0W
26 Febvs AO Itabaiana1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vitoria – last 6

LDWWDL
23 Apr@ Flamengo1–2L
19 Aprvs Corinthians0–0D
16 Aprvs Piauí3–1W
8 Aprvs Juazeirense4–1W
5 Apr@ Chapecoense-sc1–1D
2 Apr@ Cruzeiro0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Vitoria.

Confiança vs Vitoria head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Retrô2 America-RN1 135%2.55X26%3.10238%2.55 1.1–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.42 ✓
FT Piauí1 AO Itabaiana1 140%2.70X28%3.00232%2.50 1.3–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Maranhão1 Ceara3 121%8.00X26%3.90254%1.40 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Juazeirense1 ASA1 130%2.45X28%2.88242%2.90 1.0–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Jacuipense0 Imperatriz1 148%1.95X28%3.10224%3.75 1.3–1.0xG 1XJacuipense or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Fortaleza EC2 Sport Recife0 148%1.95X27%3.10224%3.70 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT CRB3 Sousa0 153%1.95X26%3.10221%3.75 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Botafogo PB1 Fluminense PI1 165%1.25X24%4.60212%11.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Confiança vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Confiança vs Vitoria?

On our numbers Confiança have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Vitoria 41%.

How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Vitoria?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Vitoria?

Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Confiança vs Vitoria?

Confiança vs Vitoria (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.