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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Piauí v AO Itabaiana: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil

Piauí

LLLWL
1–1
FT

AO Itabaiana

DLLLL
Piauí 40%Draw 28%AO Itabaiana 32% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.98
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Piauí to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPiauí to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Piauí vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AO Itabaiana travel to face Piauí on Thursday 30 April in the Copa Do Nordeste – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Piauí, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vitoria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

AO Itabaiana, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Botafogo PB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Piauí, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for AO Itabaiana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Piauí 1.3 xG, AO Itabaiana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Piauí 40%, draw 28%, AO Itabaiana 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Piauí to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piauí 1–1 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Piauí40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana32%fair 3.09 · @2.50
2.26Expected goals
1.28Piauí xG
0.98AO Itabaiana xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Piauí 1.3 – 1.0 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPiauí to win ✗40%2.502.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.91
Draw no betPiauí (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapAO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scorePiauí to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Piauí / FT Piauí ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Piauí – last 6

LLLWLW
16 Apr@ Vitoria1–3L
8 Apr@ Fluminense PI0–2L
24 Mar@ ASA0–1L
18 Marvs Atlético Piauiense1–0W
19 Feb@ Betim0–1L
13 Febvs Oeirense2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AO Itabaiana – last 6

DLLLLD
22 Aprvs Botafogo PB3–3D
12 Aprvs Ypiranga-RS1–2L
9 Aprvs Confiança0–1L
7 Apr@ Santa Cruz0–1L
29 Mar@ Juazeirense0–3L
25 Marvs CRB0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Piauí and AO Itabaiana.

Piauí vs AO Itabaiana head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Retrô2 America-RN1 135%2.55X26%3.10238%2.55 1.1–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.42 ✓
FT Maranhão1 Ceara3 121%8.00X26%3.90254%1.40 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Juazeirense1 ASA1 130%2.45X28%2.88242%2.90 1.0–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Jacuipense0 Imperatriz1 148%1.95X28%3.10224%3.75 1.3–1.0xG 1XJacuipense or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Fortaleza EC2 Sport Recife0 148%1.95X27%3.10224%3.70 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT CRB3 Sousa0 153%1.95X26%3.10221%3.75 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Confiança2 Vitoria2 131%3.25X29%2.88241%2.25 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓
FT Botafogo PB1 Fluminense PI1 165%1.25X24%4.60212%11.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?

On our numbers Piauí have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and AO Itabaiana 32%.

How many goals will there be in Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?

Our predicted score is Piauí 1–1 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Piauí vs AO Itabaiana?

Piauí vs AO Itabaiana (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.