ABC v Ferroviario Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultABC to win ✓54% · @1.80

Double chanceABC or draw ✓79% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

ABC vs Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 30 April: ABC v Ferroviario in the Copa Do Nordeste.

Current form

ABC, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over America-RN, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Ferroviario, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Retrô, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ABC 1.6 xG, Ferroviario 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – ABC 54%, draw 25%, Ferroviario 21%.
Lower-risk option: ABC or draw (79%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABC 1–0 Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ABC54%fair 1.86 · @1.80

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25

Ferroviario21%fair 4.68 · @4.20

2.50Expected goals

1.59ABC xG

0.91Ferroviario xG

57%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–112%

2–010%

2–19%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: ABC 1.6 – 0.9 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	ABC to win ✓	54%	1.86	1.80
Double chance	ABC or draw ✓	79%	1.27	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	1.93 ▲
Draw no bet	ABC (draw no bet) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Asian handicap	Ferroviario +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.80	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	ABC to score first ✓	58%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.31	–
Half-time / full-time	HT ABC / FT ABC ✓	32%	3.09	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.58	–

ABC – last 6

WWWLDD

22 Apr	@ America-RN	2–1	W
16 Apr	@ Imperatriz	3–1	W
7 Apr	@ America-RN	3–0	W
29 Mar	vs Sport Recife	0–1	L
25 Mar	@ Ceara	1–1	D
19 Mar	@ America-RN	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Ferroviario – last 4

DWLW

15 Apr	vs Retrô	1–1	D
7 Apr	vs Jacuipense	1–0	W
25 Mar	vs Fortaleza EC	0–1	L
26 Feb	vs Floresta	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

25%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ABC vs Ferroviario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win ABC vs Ferroviario?

On our numbers ABC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ferroviario 21%.

How many goals will there be in ABC vs Ferroviario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ABC vs Ferroviario?

Our predicted score is ABC 1–0 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ABC vs Ferroviario?

ABC vs Ferroviario (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

ABC v Ferroviario: numbers & prediction

ABC

Ferroviario

Under 3.5 goals