Água Santa vs Madureira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Madureira travel to face Água Santa on Saturday 30 May in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Água Santa, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to XV de Piracicaba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Madureira, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portuguesa RJ, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Água Santa 1.5 xG, Madureira 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Água Santa 53%, draw 27%, Madureira 20%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Água Santa 1–1 Madureira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Água Santa53%fair 1.89 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Madureira20%fair 5.02 · @5.50
2.38Expected goals
1.47Água Santa xG
0.91Madureira xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Água Santa 1.5 – 0.9 Madureira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Água Santa to win✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Double chance
Água Santa or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Água Santa (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Madureira +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Água Santa to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Água Santa / FT Água Santa✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Água Santa – last 6
LLLDWW
15 Apr
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Votuporanguense
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ Ituano
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Monte Azul
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Grêmio Prudente
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Madureira – last 6
DLLWLW
18 Apr
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–0
D
12 Mar
vs Águia de Marabá
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–8
L
25 Feb
vs ABC
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Flamengo
0–3
L
18 Feb
@ Baré
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Água Santa and Madureira.
What is the prediction for Água Santa vs Madureira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Água Santa vs Madureira?
On our numbers Água Santa have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Madureira 20%.
How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs Madureira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs Madureira?
Our predicted score is Água Santa 1–1 Madureira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Água Santa vs Madureira?
Água Santa vs Madureira (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Aparecidense1
Primavera MG1
Iguatu2
Parnahyba2
Joinville2
Guarany de Bagé0
ABECAT Ouvidorense2
Ipatinga1
Porto BA1
Tombense3
Pouso Alegre1
Portuguesa2
Vitória ES1
Real Noroeste1
ASA0
CSE0