Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.52
Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the Serie D brings Pouso Alegre against Portuguesa at Estadio Do Manduzao. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Portuguesa, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pouso Alegre 0.5 xG, Portuguesa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pouso Alegre 14%, draw 25%, Portuguesa 61%.
Lower-risk option: Portuguesa or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Portuguesa to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pouso Alegre 0–1 Portuguesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pouso Alegre14%fair 7.36 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @2.90
Portuguesa61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
2.06Expected goals
0.55Pouso Alegre xG
1.51Portuguesa xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–215%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pouso Alegre 0.5 – 1.5 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Portuguesa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Portuguesa (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Portuguesa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Portuguesa to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Pouso Alegre – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Uberlandia
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Portuguesa – last 3
LWW
18 Mar
vs Paysandu
2–3
L
27 Feb
vs Altos
5–1
W
16 Feb
@ Mirassol
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pouso Alegre and Portuguesa.
What is the prediction for Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Our pick is Portuguesa to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
On our numbers Pouso Alegre have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portuguesa 61%.
How many goals will there be in Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Our predicted score is Pouso Alegre 0–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa?
Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Do Manduzao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.