Iguatu vs Parnahyba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the Serie D brings Iguatu against Parnahyba at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Parnahyba, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maracanã, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iguatu 1.7 xG, Parnahyba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iguatu 56%, draw 24%, Parnahyba 20%.
Lower-risk option: Iguatu or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iguatu 1–1 Parnahyba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iguatu56%fair 1.79 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Parnahyba20%fair 5.02 · @4.80
2.61Expected goals
1.69Iguatu xG
0.92Parnahyba xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Iguatu 1.7 – 0.9 Parnahyba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iguatu to win✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Double chance
Iguatu or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Iguatu (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Parnahyba +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Iguatu to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iguatu / FT Iguatu✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Iguatu
No recent results on record.
Parnahyba – last 4
LLDL
24 May
vs Maracanã
0–1
L
17 May
@ Sampaio Correa
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Teresina Esporte Club
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Fluminense PI
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iguatu and Parnahyba.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
On our numbers Iguatu have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Parnahyba 20%.
How many goals will there be in Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
Our predicted score is Iguatu 1–1 Parnahyba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iguatu vs Parnahyba?
Iguatu vs Parnahyba (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.