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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ABECAT Ouvidorense v Ipatinga: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

ABECAT Ouvidorense

LWWD
2–1
FT

Ipatinga

D
ABECAT Ouvidorense 43%Draw 27%Ipatinga 30% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.00
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.10Odds
1

Value bet: ABECAT Ouvidorense to win @ 2.90 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultABECAT Ouvidorense to win ✓43% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.71

ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: ABECAT Ouvidorense v Ipatinga in the Serie D.

Current form

ABECAT Ouvidorense, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CRAC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ABECAT Ouvidorense 1.5 xG, Ipatinga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ABECAT Ouvidorense 43%, draw 27%, Ipatinga 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: ABECAT Ouvidorense to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABECAT Ouvidorense 1–1 Ipatinga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ABECAT Ouvidorense43%fair 2.32 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.60
Ipatinga30%fair 3.29 · @2.45
2.54Expected goals
1.53ABECAT Ouvidorense xG
1.00Ipatinga xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: ABECAT Ouvidorense 1.5 – 1.0 Ipatinga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultABECAT Ouvidorense to win ✓43%2.322.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.10 ▲
Draw no betABECAT Ouvidorense (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapIpatinga +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreABECAT Ouvidorense to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT ABECAT Ouvidorense / FT ABECAT Ouvidorense ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.71–

Recent results

ABECAT Ouvidorense – last 4

LWWD
17 May@ CRAC1–2L
4 Marvs Jataiense2–1W
22 Feb@ Anápolis2–0W
15 Feb@ Atletico Goianiense1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ipatinga – last 1

D
18 May@ Uberlandia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ABECAT Ouvidorense and Ipatinga.

ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Água Santa4 Madureira1 153%1.62X27%3.10220%5.50 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓
FT Aparecidense1 Primavera MG1 151%1.85X27%3.00222%3.80 1.6–1.0xG 1XAparecidense or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Parnahyba2 156%1.67X24%3.10220%4.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Joinville2 Guarany de Bagé0 163%1.44X24%3.25213%8.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Joinville to win 63%@1.44 ✓
FT Porto BA1 Tombense3 126%3.70X25%3.10248%1.91 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Pouso Alegre1 Portuguesa2 114%4.60X25%2.90261%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Portuguesa to win 61%@1.75 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Real Noroeste1 163%1.50X25%3.50213%6.00 1.5–0.5xG 1Vitória ES to win 63%@1.50 ✗
FT ASA0 CSE0 168%1.30X19%4.00212%11.00 2.0–0.7xG 1ASA to win 68%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga?

On our numbers ABECAT Ouvidorense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ipatinga 30%.

How many goals will there be in ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga?

Our predicted score is ABECAT Ouvidorense 1–1 Ipatinga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga?

ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Ipatinga (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.