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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitória ES v Real Noroeste: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Real Noroeste

Vitória ES 63%Draw 25%Real Noroeste 13% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.52

63%

Betarazi pick

Vitória ES to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitória ES to win ✗63% · @1.50

Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✓87% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.11

Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Vitória ES v Real Noroeste in the Serie D.

Current form

Vitória ES, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sport Brasil ES, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitória ES 1.5 xG, Real Noroeste 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória ES 63%, draw 25%, Real Noroeste 13%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vitória ES to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória ES 1–0 Real Noroeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitória ES63%fair 1.60 · @1.50

Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50

Real Noroeste13%fair 7.84 · @6.00

2.06Expected goals

1.54Vitória ES xG

0.52Real Noroeste xG

46%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%

2–015%

0–013%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.5 – 0.5 Real Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Vitória ES to win ✗	63%	1.60	1.50
Double chance	Vitória ES or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	1.57
Draw no bet	Vitória ES (draw no bet)	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Vitória ES -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Vitória ES to score first	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES ✗	38%	2.63	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	20%	5.11	–

Recent results

Vitória ES – last 6

WWWDWL

27 May	vs Sport Brasil ES	5–0	W
24 May	@ Rio Branco ES	2–0	W
20 May	vs Serra Talhada	3–2	W
13 May	@ Rio Branco ES	2–2	D
7 May	vs Audax São Mateus	3–1	W
5 May	@ Democrata GV	0–2	L

2.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Real Noroeste – last 2

7 Apr	@ Democrata GV	0–1	L
20 Feb	vs Serra Talhada	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitória ES and Real Noroeste.

Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Água Santa4

Madureira1 153%1.62X27%3.10220%5.50 1.5–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓

Aparecidense1

Primavera MG1 151%1.85X27%3.00222%3.80 1.6–1.0xG 1XAparecidense or draw 78%@1.22 ✓

Iguatu2

Parnahyba2 156%1.67X24%3.10220%4.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓

Joinville2

Guarany de Bagé0 163%1.44X24%3.25213%8.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Joinville to win 63%@1.44 ✓

ABECAT Ouvidorense2

Ipatinga1 143%2.90X27%2.60230%2.45 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.10 ✓

Porto BA1

Tombense3 126%3.70X25%3.10248%1.91 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Pouso Alegre1

Portuguesa2 114%4.60X25%2.90261%1.75 0.5–1.5xG 2Portuguesa to win 61%@1.75 ✓

ASA0

CSE0 168%1.30X19%4.00212%11.00 2.0–0.7xG 1ASA to win 68%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?

Our pick is Vitória ES to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?

On our numbers Vitória ES have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Noroeste 13%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?

Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–0 Real Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste?

Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.