Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.26 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRotor Volgograd to win65% · @1.36
Double chanceRotor Volgograd or draw86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.26
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.37
Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rotor Volgograd welcome Chayka to Volgograd Arena for a First League fixture on Saturday 16 May (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC UFA, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Chayka, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chernomorets, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rotor Volgograd, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Chayka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotor Volgograd 1.9 xG, Chayka 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotor Volgograd 65%, draw 21%, Chayka 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.26.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotor Volgograd 2–0 Chayka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotor Volgograd65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.50
Chayka14%fair 7.23 · @8.20
2.67Expected goals
1.89Rotor Volgograd xG
0.78Chayka xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.9 – 0.8 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rotor Volgograd
Chayka
Attack vs First League average
+4%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+26%
Our expected goals here
1.94
0.87
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Rotor Volgograd or draw
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.26 ▲
Draw no bet
Rotor Volgograd (draw no bet)
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Rotor Volgograd -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Rotor Volgograd to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Rotor Volgograd ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LDWWWW
10 May
@ FC UFA
0–1
L
4 May
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chayka – last 6
LLLWLW
8 May
vs Chernomorets
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Ural
0–5
L
29 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Chayka.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chayka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 2–0 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodina Moskva2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel0