Value bet: Ska-khabarovsk to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSka-khabarovsk to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Neftekhimik travel to face Ska-khabarovsk on Saturday 16 May in the First League, with Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Ska-khabarovsk are 15th, lower half, on 16 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ska-khabarovsk, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fakel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chelyabinsk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ska-khabarovsk 1.5 xG, FK Neftekhimik 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ska-khabarovsk 43%, draw 26%, FK Neftekhimik 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Ska-khabarovsk to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ska-khabarovsk 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ska-khabarovsk43%fair 2.30 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.04
FK Neftekhimik30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
2.46Expected goals
1.48Ska-khabarovsk xG
0.97FK Neftekhimik xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ska-khabarovsk 1.5 – 1.0 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ska-khabarovsk
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
+6%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.82
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ska-khabarovsk to win✓
43%
2.30
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.81
Draw no bet
Ska-khabarovsk (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Ska-khabarovsk to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ska-khabarovsk / FT Ska-khabarovsk✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
DLLDLL
8 May
@ Fakel
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–3
L
18 Apr
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLWDLL
2 May
@ Chelyabinsk
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Enisey
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Chernomorets
4–0
W
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ska-khabarovsk and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Ska-khabarovsk have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Neftekhimik 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Ska-khabarovsk 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodina Moskva2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Chayka0
Fakel0