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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Urozhay

Spartak Kostroma

DLWLD
0–1
–

FC UFA

WLDDL
Spartak Kostroma 40%Draw 29%FC UFA 31% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.98
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.43

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win40% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.85

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 16 May: Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA in the First League, played at Stadion Urozhay. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Sokol Saratov, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC UFA, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotor Volgograd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG, FC UFA 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 40%, draw 29%, FC UFA 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Kostroma40%fair 2.50 · @2.27
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.10
FC UFA31%fair 3.21 · @3.16
2.14Expected goals
1.16Spartak Kostroma xG
0.98FC UFA xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.2 – 1.0 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Spartak KostromaFC UFA
Attack vs First League average-4%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-26%
Our expected goals here1.050.87

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win40%2.502.27
Double chanceEither team to win71%1.401.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapFC UFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals63%1.581.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals63%1.591.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals82%1.221.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.091.01
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.85–

Recent results

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

DLWLDD
10 May@ FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
1 May@ KAMAZ0–2L
22 Aprvs Ska-khabarovsk3–0W
28 Mar@ Volga Ulyanovsk0–1L
22 Marvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
7 Mar@ Chelyabinsk3–3D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

WLDDLW
10 Mayvs Rotor Volgograd1–0W
22 Aprvs KAMAZ0–1L
12 Apr@ Ural0–0D
6 Aprvs Torpedo Moskva1–1D
28 Mar@ Enisey0–1L
15 Marvs FK Sokol Saratov2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA.

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Ska-khabarovsk2 FK Neftekhimik0 143%2.55X26%3.04230%2.80 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
– Arsenal Tula0 Rodina Moskva2 127%3.40X24%3.32249%2.07 1.1–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.36
– Chelyabinsk2 Shinnik Yaroslavl1 137%2.34X28%3.05235%3.08 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20
– Chernomorets1 Ural0 131%2.29X28%2.90241%3.36 1.0–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44
– KAMAZ0 FK Sokol Saratov0 160%1.49X24%3.82216%6.85 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28
– Rotor Volgograd0 Chayka0 165%1.36X21%4.50214%8.20 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.27
– Volga Ulyanovsk0 Fakel0 125%4.80X26%3.45250%1.72 1.0–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.37
– Torpedo Moskva Enisey 152%2.22X24%3.10224%3.26 1.7–0.8xG 1XTorpedo Moskva or draw 76%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and FC UFA 31%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.