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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Scotland v FYR Macedonia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Hampden Park Stadium

Scotland

LWLDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

FYR Macedonia

LLLLL
Scotland 68%Draw 20%FYR Macedonia 12% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.68
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultScotland to win68% · @1.18
Double chanceScotland or draw88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.46

Scotland vs FYR Macedonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Friday 13 November: Scotland v FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League, played at Hampden Park Stadium. In the table, Scotland are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; FYR Macedonia are 4th with 0.

Current form

Scotland, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slovenia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

FYR Macedonia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Switzerland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Momentum favours Scotland, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for FYR Macedonia.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended FYR Macedonia 0–2 Scotland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scotland 1.7 xG, FYR Macedonia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Scotland 68%, draw 20%, FYR Macedonia 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scotland 1–0 FYR Macedonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scotland68%fair 1.46 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @7.00
FYR Macedonia12%fair 8.53 · @13.00
2.42Expected goals
1.74Scotland xG
0.68FYR Macedonia xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Scotland 1.7 – 0.7 FYR Macedonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ScotlandFYR Macedonia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-14%-41%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+36%
Our expected goals here1.430.74

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultScotland to win68%1.461.18
Double chanceScotland or draw88%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.891.44
Draw no betScotland (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapScotland -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals50%2.002.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.171.17
First team to scoreScotland to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultScotland ahead at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Scotland / FT Scotland39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.46–

Recent results

Scotland – last 6

LWLDLL
6 Octvs Slovenia1–2L
3 Oct@ FYR Macedonia2–0W
29 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
26 Sep@ Slovenia0–0D
24 Junvs Brazil0–3L
19 Junvs Morocco0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FYR Macedonia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ Switzerland0–3L
3 Octvs Scotland0–2L
29 Sep@ Slovenia0–2L
26 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
1 Jun@ Türkiye0–4L
29 May@ Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026FYR Macedonia v Scotland0–2
Scotland vs FYR Macedonia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland4400+1012
2Slovenia4211+27
3Scotland4112-24
4FYR Macedonia4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan 134%2.60X27%3.00239%2.88 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44
Serbia Germany 115%8.00X21%6.00264%1.30 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.80
Netherlands Greece 154%1.50X23%4.50224%6.00 1.5–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.53
Slovakia Faroe Islands 162%1.36X22%4.50216%8.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 117%4.33X25%3.60258%1.80 0.7–1.6xG X2Iceland or draw 83%@1.20
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 112%14.00X24%5.15265%1.28 0.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia 133%2.15X29%3.10237%3.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 143%1.90X29%3.08228%5.20 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

On our numbers Scotland have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FYR Macedonia 12%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

Our predicted score is Scotland 1–0 FYR Macedonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

Scotland vs FYR Macedonia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Hampden Park Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.