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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Slovenia v FYR Macedonia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stožice Stadium

Slovenia

DLDW
2–0
FT

FYR Macedonia

LLDDL
Slovenia 63%Draw 22%FYR Macedonia 15% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.33
63%
Betarazi pick

Slovenia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSlovenia to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceSlovenia or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.83

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slovenia welcome FYR Macedonia to Stožice Stadium for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Slovenia are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; FYR Macedonia are 4th with 0.

Current form

Slovenia, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Scotland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FYR Macedonia, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Switzerland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Slovenia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for FYR Macedonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Slovenia 1.2 xG, FYR Macedonia 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Slovenia 63%, draw 22%, FYR Macedonia 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Slovenia or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slovenia to win (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovenia 1–0 FYR Macedonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slovenia63%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
FYR Macedonia15%fair 6.53 · @5.00
1.50Expected goals
1.17Slovenia xG
0.33FYR Macedonia xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Slovenia 1.2 – 0.3 FYR Macedonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlovenia to win ✓63%1.601.62
Double chanceSlovenia or draw ✓85%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.62
Draw no betSlovenia (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapFYR Macedonia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSlovenia to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slovenia / FT Slovenia ✗33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26%3.83–

Recent results

Slovenia – last 4

DLDW
26 Sepvs Scotland0–0D
7 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
4 Junvs Cyprus1–1D
31 Mar@ Montenegro3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FYR Macedonia – last 5

LLDDL
26 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
1 Jun@ Türkiye0–4L
29 May@ Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
31 Mar@ Rep. Of Ireland0–0D
26 Mar@ Denmark0–4L
0.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Slovenia and FYR Macedonia.

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland4400+1012
2Slovenia4211+27
3Scotland4112-24
4FYR Macedonia4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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FT Finland0 Belarus0 162%1.57X24%3.50214%5.50 2.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@2.15 ✗
FT Moldova1 Faroe Islands1 136%2.70X25%2.88240%2.62 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.05 ✓
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FT Czechia0 England2 110%8.00X19%4.75272%1.33 1.1–2.9xG 2England to win 72%@1.33 ✓
FT San Marino0 Albania3 18%41.00X12%15.00281%1.04 1.1–3.4xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@4.33 ✗
FT Slovakia2 Kazakhstan1 174%1.25X18%5.0028%11.00 1.7–0.3xG 1Slovakia to win 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Bulgaria0 Estonia0 164%1.65X21%3.40214%5.00 1.8–0.7xG 1Bulgaria to win 64%@1.65 ✗
FT Luxembourg0 Iceland3 138%3.30X23%3.10239%2.10 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.80 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

Our pick is Slovenia to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

On our numbers Slovenia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FYR Macedonia 15%.

How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

Our predicted score is Slovenia 1–0 FYR Macedonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stožice Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.