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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Benin v Mauritania: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

Benin

DLDWW
2–1
FT

Mauritania

WWDL
Benin 37%Draw 25%Mauritania 38% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.51
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultMauritania to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Benin vs Mauritania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Benin v Mauritania in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara. In the table, Benin are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Mauritania are 3rd with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Benin, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burkina Faso, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Mauritania, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Central African Republic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Benin 1.5 xG, Mauritania 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Benin 37%, draw 25%, Mauritania 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benin 1–1 Mauritania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Benin37%fair 2.69 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Mauritania38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.49Benin xG
1.51Mauritania xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Benin 1.5 – 1.5 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMauritania to win ✗38%2.653.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.682.05 ▲
Draw no betMauritania (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapBenin +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreMauritania to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mauritania / FT Mauritania ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Benin – last 5

DLDWW
25 Sep@ Burkina Faso1–1D
9 Jun@ Togo1–5L
5 Junvs Niger1–1D
31 Mar@ Guinea1–0W
27 Marvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Mauritania – last 4

WWDL
24 Sepvs Central African Republic3–1W
8 Jun@ Niger1–0W
5 Jun@ Angola1–1D
28 Mar@ Argentina1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Benin and Mauritania.

Benin vs Mauritania head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Burundi2 Algeria2 112%10.00X21%4.60267%1.29 0.9–2.3xG 2Algeria to win 67%@1.29 ✗
FT Comoros1 Namibia0 162%1.91X23%2.80215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XComoros or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Ethiopia0 Senegal1 111%8.00X22%4.00267%1.36 0.3–1.4xG 2Senegal to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Lesotho0 Morocco2 112%51.00X12%15.00275%1.03 0.3–1.7xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.29 ✓
FT Mozambique4 Sudan1 160%1.91X25%2.80215%4.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Mozambique to win 60%@1.91 ✓
FT South Sudan0 Egypt5 18%13.00X18%5.00274%1.20 0.3–1.7xG 2Egypt to win 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Madagascar1 Tanzania1 138%2.38X25%2.80237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✓
FT Cape Verde Islands1 Rwanda2 163%1.44X20%3.60217%7.50 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@2.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benin vs Mauritania?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Benin vs Mauritania?

On our numbers Benin have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mauritania 38%.

How many goals will there be in Benin vs Mauritania?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Benin vs Mauritania?

Our predicted score is Benin 1–1 Mauritania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Benin vs Mauritania?

Benin vs Mauritania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.