Madagascar vs Tanzania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Madagascar welcome Tanzania to Stade d'Honneur for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 29 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Madagascar are 4th on 2 points after 6 matches; Tanzania are 2nd with 10.
Current form
Madagascar, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nigeria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tanzania, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Guinea-Bissau, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tanzania, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Madagascar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madagascar 1.3 xG, Tanzania 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madagascar 38%, draw 25%, Tanzania 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madagascar 1–1 Tanzania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madagascar38%fair 2.60 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Tanzania37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.27Madagascar xG
1.23Tanzania xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Madagascar 1.3 – 1.2 Tanzania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madagascar to win✗
38%
2.60
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Madagascar (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Tanzania +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Madagascar to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madagascar / FT Madagascar✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Madagascar – last 3
LLD
25 Sep
@ Nigeria
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Morocco
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Equatorial Guinea
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tanzania – last 3
LWL
25 Sep
vs Guinea-Bissau
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Mação
6–0
W
26 Mar
vs Liechtenstein
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madagascar and Tanzania.
What is the prediction for Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Madagascar vs Tanzania?
On our numbers Madagascar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tanzania 37%.
How many goals will there be in Madagascar vs Tanzania?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Our predicted score is Madagascar 1–1 Tanzania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Madagascar vs Tanzania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade d'Honneur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burundi2
Algeria2
Namibia0
Ethiopia0
Senegal1
Lesotho0
Morocco2
Mozambique4
Sudan1
South Sudan0
Egypt5
Cape Verde Islands1
Rwanda2
Ghana2