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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cape Verde Islands v Rwanda: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde

Cape Verde Islands

LDDDD
1–2
FT

Rwanda

WWW
Cape Verde Islands 63%Draw 20%Rwanda 17% Expected goals 2.63 – 1.37
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 2.38 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultCape Verde Islands to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw ✗83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rwanda travel to face Cape Verde Islands on Tuesday 29 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cape Verde Islands are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Rwanda are 3rd with 8.

Current form

Cape Verde Islands, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mali, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rwanda, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Liberia, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rwanda, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Cape Verde Islands.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cape Verde Islands 2.6 xG, Rwanda 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cape Verde Islands 63%, draw 20%, Rwanda 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.38.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 2.38 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cape Verde Islands 2–1 Rwanda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cape Verde Islands63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Rwanda17%fair 5.89 · @7.50
4.00Expected goals
2.63Cape Verde Islands xG
1.37Rwanda xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Cape Verde Islands 2.6 – 1.4 Rwanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCape Verde Islands to win ✗63%1.591.44
Double chanceCape Verde Islands or draw ✗83%1.201.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.702.38 ▲
Draw no betCape Verde Islands (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapCape Verde Islands -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreCape Verde Islands to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultCape Verde Islands ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cape Verde Islands / FT Cape Verde Islands ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Cape Verde Islands – last 6

LDDDDW
25 Sep@ Mali1–3L
3 Jul@ Argentina1–1D
27 Junvs Saudi Arabia0–0D
21 Jun@ Uruguay2–2D
15 Jun@ Spain0–0D
6 Junvs Bermuda3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rwanda – last 3

WWW
25 Sepvs Liberia3–1W
30 Marvs Estonia2–0W
27 Marvs Grenada4–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cape Verde Islands and Rwanda.

Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Burundi2 Algeria2 112%10.00X21%4.60267%1.29 0.9–2.3xG 2Algeria to win 67%@1.29 ✗
FT Comoros1 Namibia0 162%1.91X23%2.80215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XComoros or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Ethiopia0 Senegal1 111%8.00X22%4.00267%1.36 0.3–1.4xG 2Senegal to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Lesotho0 Morocco2 112%51.00X12%15.00275%1.03 0.3–1.7xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.29 ✓
FT Mozambique4 Sudan1 160%1.91X25%2.80215%4.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Mozambique to win 60%@1.91 ✓
FT South Sudan0 Egypt5 18%13.00X18%5.00274%1.20 0.3–1.7xG 2Egypt to win 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Madagascar1 Tanzania1 138%2.38X25%2.80237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✓
FT Ghana2 Gambia4 162%1.44X19%3.70219%6.00 1.7–0.8xG 1Ghana to win 62%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.38.

Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?

On our numbers Cape Verde Islands have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rwanda 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?

Our predicted score is Cape Verde Islands 2–1 Rwanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?

Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.