Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultMozambique to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceMozambique or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 3.92
Mozambique vs Sudan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sudan travel to face Mozambique on Tuesday 29 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mozambique are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Sudan are 2nd with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mozambique 1.1 xG, Sudan 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mozambique 60%, draw 25%, Sudan 15%.
Lower-risk option: Mozambique or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mozambique to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mozambique 1–0 Sudan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mozambique60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Sudan15%fair 6.54 · @4.40
1.50Expected goals
1.14Mozambique xG
0.36Sudan xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Mozambique 1.1 – 0.4 Sudan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mozambique to win✓
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Mozambique or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.53
Draw no bet
Mozambique (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sudan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Mozambique to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mozambique / FT Mozambique✓
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
3.92
–
Recent results
Mozambique – last 2
DL
25 Sep
vs Senegal
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Indonesia
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sudan – last 1
W
25 Sep
vs Ethiopia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mozambique and Sudan.
Our pick is Mozambique to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Mozambique vs Sudan?
On our numbers Mozambique have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sudan 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mozambique vs Sudan?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mozambique vs Sudan?
Our predicted score is Mozambique 1–0 Sudan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Mozambique vs Sudan?
Mozambique vs Sudan (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burundi2
Algeria2
Comoros1
Namibia0
Ethiopia0
Senegal1
Lesotho0
Morocco2
South Sudan0
Egypt5
Madagascar1
Tanzania1
Cape Verde Islands1
Rwanda2
Gambia4