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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burundi v Algeria: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Intwari

Burundi

LWW
2–2
FT

Algeria

WLDWL
Burundi 12%Draw 21%Algeria 67% Expected goals 0.92 – 2.33
67%
Betarazi pick

Algeria to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 55% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlgeria to win ✗67% · @1.29
Double chanceAlgeria or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Burundi vs Algeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burundi welcome Algeria to Stade Intwari for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 29 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Burundi are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Algeria are 1st with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Burundi, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Togo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Algeria, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zambia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burundi 0.9 xG, Algeria 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burundi 12%, draw 21%, Algeria 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Algeria to win (67%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burundi 0–2 Algeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burundi12%fair 8.46 · @10.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.60
Algeria67%fair 1.49 · @1.29
3.25Expected goals
0.92Burundi xG
2.33Algeria xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%

From our goals model: Burundi 0.9 – 2.3 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlgeria to win ✗67%1.491.29
Double chanceAlgeria or draw ✓88%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.812.30 ▲
Draw no betAlgeria (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapAlgeria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreAlgeria to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultAlgeria ahead at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Algeria / FT Algeria ✗46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Burundi – last 3

LWW
25 Sep@ Togo0–1L
31 Marvs Chad4–0W
27 Mar@ Chad4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Algeria – last 6

WLDWLW
25 Sepvs Zambia3–1W
3 Jul@ Switzerland0–2L
28 Junvs Austria3–3D
23 Jun@ Jordan2–1W
17 Jun@ Argentina0–3L
11 Jun@ Bolivia4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burundi and Algeria.

Burundi vs Algeria head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria6510+1416
2Equatorial Guinea6222-38
3Togo6123-35
4Liberia6114-84

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Comoros1 Namibia0 162%1.91X23%2.80215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XComoros or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Ethiopia0 Senegal1 111%8.00X22%4.00267%1.36 0.3–1.4xG 2Senegal to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Lesotho0 Morocco2 112%51.00X12%15.00275%1.03 0.3–1.7xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.29 ✓
FT Mozambique4 Sudan1 160%1.91X25%2.80215%4.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Mozambique to win 60%@1.91 ✓
FT South Sudan0 Egypt5 18%13.00X18%5.00274%1.20 0.3–1.7xG 2Egypt to win 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Madagascar1 Tanzania1 138%2.38X25%2.80237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✓
FT Cape Verde Islands1 Rwanda2 163%1.44X20%3.60217%7.50 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@2.38 ✓
FT Ghana2 Gambia4 162%1.44X19%3.70219%6.00 1.7–0.8xG 1Ghana to win 62%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burundi vs Algeria?

Our pick is Algeria to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Burundi vs Algeria?

On our numbers Burundi have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Algeria 67%.

How many goals will there be in Burundi vs Algeria?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burundi vs Algeria?

Our predicted score is Burundi 0–2 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Burundi vs Algeria?

Burundi vs Algeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Intwari.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.