Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGabon to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceGabon or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Gabon vs Niger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Niger travel to face Gabon on Tuesday 29 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Stade de Franceville the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Gabon are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Niger are 3rd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Niger, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lesotho, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gabon 1.8 xG, Niger 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gabon 63%, draw 21%, Niger 16%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gabon to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gabon 1–0 Niger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gabon63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.30
Niger16%fair 6.20 · @6.00
2.50Expected goals
1.77Gabon xG
0.73Niger xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.7 Niger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gabon to win✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Double chance
Gabon or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Gabon (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Gabon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Gabon to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Gabon ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gabon / FT Gabon✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Gabon – last 2
LL
25 Sep
@ Morocco
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Uzbekistan
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Niger – last 5
WLDLD
25 Sep
vs Lesotho
2–1
W
8 Jun
vs Mauritania
0–1
L
5 Jun
@ Benin
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Togo
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Libya
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gabon and Niger.
Our pick is Gabon to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gabon vs Niger?
On our numbers Gabon have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Niger 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Niger?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gabon vs Niger?
Our predicted score is Gabon 1–0 Niger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gabon vs Niger?
Gabon vs Niger (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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