Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNigeria to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceNigeria or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Guinea-Bissau against Nigeria at Estádio 24 de Setembro. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Guinea-Bissau are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Nigeria are 1st with 11.
Current form
Nigeria, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Madagascar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guinea-Bissau 0.6 xG, Nigeria 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guinea-Bissau 12%, draw 21%, Nigeria 66%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nigeria to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guinea-Bissau 0–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guinea-Bissau12%fair 8.11 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Nigeria66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
2.50Expected goals
0.65Guinea-Bissau xG
1.85Nigeria xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Guinea-Bissau 0.6 – 1.9 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Nigeria or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.50
Draw no bet
Nigeria (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Nigeria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nigeria to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Nigeria ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.57
–
Recent results
Guinea-Bissau – last 2
WD
25 Sep
@ Tanzania
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Burkina Faso
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 6
WLDWDW
25 Sep
vs Madagascar
2–1
W
10 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria.
What is the prediction for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Our pick is Nigeria to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Guinea-Bissau have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nigeria 66%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Guinea-Bissau 0–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio 24 de Setembro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burundi2
Algeria2
Comoros1
Namibia0
Ethiopia0
Senegal1
Lesotho0
Morocco2
Mozambique4
Sudan1
South Sudan0
Egypt5
Madagascar1
Tanzania1
Cape Verde Islands1