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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Somalia v Ivory Coast: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Somalia

LDD
0–2
FT

Ivory Coast

WLWLW
Somalia 12%Draw 15%Ivory Coast 74% Expected goals 0.18 – 1.32
63%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultIvory Coast to win ✓74% · @1.05
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗29% · fair 3.40

Somalia vs Ivory Coast: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Somalia welcome Ivory Coast to Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 29 September (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Somalia, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gambia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Ivory Coast, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ghana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ivory Coast, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Somalia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Somalia 0.2 xG, Ivory Coast 1.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Somalia 12%, draw 15%, Ivory Coast 74%.
  • GG/NG: NG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Somalia 0–1 Ivory Coast. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Somalia12%fair 8.61 · @36.00
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @11.00
Ivory Coast74%fair 1.36 · @1.05
1.50Expected goals
0.18Somalia xG
1.32Ivory Coast xG
37%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–129%
0–022%
0–219%
0–38%
1–15%
1–04%

From our goals model: Somalia 0.2 – 1.3 Ivory Coast expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIvory Coast to win ✓74%1.361.05
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw ✓88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓63%1.591.44
Draw no betIvory Coast (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapIvory Coast -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreIvory Coast to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗29%3.40–

Recent results

Somalia – last 3

LDD
25 Sep@ Gambia1–2L
31 Mar@ Mauritius0–0D
27 Marvs Mauritius0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ivory Coast – last 6

WLWLWW
24 Sepvs Ghana2–0W
30 Junvs Norway1–2L
25 Jun@ Curaçao2–0W
20 Jun@ Germany1–2L
15 Junvs Ecuador1–0W
4 Jun@ France2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Somalia and Ivory Coast.

Somalia vs Ivory Coast head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia6411+313
2Ivory Coast6402+912
3Sierra Leone6123-55
4Chad6033-73

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Burundi2 Algeria2 112%10.00X21%4.60267%1.29 0.9–2.3xG 2Algeria to win 67%@1.29 ✗
FT Comoros1 Namibia0 162%1.91X23%2.80215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XComoros or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Ethiopia0 Senegal1 111%8.00X22%4.00267%1.36 0.3–1.4xG 2Senegal to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Lesotho0 Morocco2 112%51.00X12%15.00275%1.03 0.3–1.7xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.29 ✓
FT Mozambique4 Sudan1 160%1.91X25%2.80215%4.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Mozambique to win 60%@1.91 ✓
FT South Sudan0 Egypt5 18%13.00X18%5.00274%1.20 0.3–1.7xG 2Egypt to win 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Madagascar1 Tanzania1 138%2.38X25%2.80237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✓
FT Cape Verde Islands1 Rwanda2 163%1.44X20%3.60217%7.50 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@2.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Somalia vs Ivory Coast?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Somalia vs Ivory Coast?

On our numbers Somalia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ivory Coast 74%.

How many goals will there be in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Somalia vs Ivory Coast?

Our predicted score is Somalia 0–1 Ivory Coast, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Somalia vs Ivory Coast?

Somalia vs Ivory Coast (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.