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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zambia v Togo: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Zambia

LL
2–0
FT

Togo

WWDWD
Zambia 55%Draw 28%Togo 17% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.83
83%
Betarazi pick

Zambia or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZambia to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceZambia or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53

Zambia vs Togo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zambia welcome Togo to Levy Mwanawasa Stadium for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 29 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Zambia are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Togo are 3rd with 5.

Current form

Togo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Burundi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zambia 1.7 xG, Togo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zambia 55%, draw 28%, Togo 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Zambia or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zambia or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zambia 1–0 Togo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zambia55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.90
Togo17%fair 5.97 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.67Zambia xG
0.83Togo xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Zambia 1.7 – 0.8 Togo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZambia to win ✓55%1.801.95 ▲
Double chanceZambia or draw ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.15 ▲
Draw no betZambia (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapTogo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreZambia to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zambia / FT Zambia ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.53–

Recent results

Zambia – last 2

LL
25 Sep@ Algeria1–3L
1 Apr@ Argentina0–5L
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Togo – last 5

WWDWD
25 Sepvs Burundi1–0W
9 Junvs Benin5–1W
5 Jun@ Central African Republic1–1D
31 Mar@ Niger1–0W
27 Mar@ Guinea2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zambia and Togo.

Zambia vs Togo head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria6510+1416
2Equatorial Guinea6222-38
3Togo6123-35
4Liberia6114-84

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Burundi2 Algeria2 112%10.00X21%4.60267%1.29 0.9–2.3xG 2Algeria to win 67%@1.29 ✗
FT Comoros1 Namibia0 162%1.91X23%2.80215%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XComoros or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Ethiopia0 Senegal1 111%8.00X22%4.00267%1.36 0.3–1.4xG 2Senegal to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Lesotho0 Morocco2 112%51.00X12%15.00275%1.03 0.3–1.7xG NGNot both teams to score 61%@1.29 ✓
FT Mozambique4 Sudan1 160%1.91X25%2.80215%4.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Mozambique to win 60%@1.91 ✓
FT South Sudan0 Egypt5 18%13.00X18%5.00274%1.20 0.3–1.7xG 2Egypt to win 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Madagascar1 Tanzania1 138%2.38X25%2.80237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✓
FT Cape Verde Islands1 Rwanda2 163%1.44X20%3.60217%7.50 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@2.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zambia vs Togo?

Our pick is Zambia or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Zambia vs Togo?

On our numbers Zambia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Togo 17%.

How many goals will there be in Zambia vs Togo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zambia vs Togo?

Our predicted score is Zambia 1–0 Togo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Zambia vs Togo?

Zambia vs Togo (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.