Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 1.68 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓64% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Eerste Divisie brings Almere City FC against Jong PSV U21 at Yanmar Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong PSV U21 are 17th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Den Bosch, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Jong PSV U21, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Volendam, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.3 xG, Jong PSV U21 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 64%, draw 13%, Jong PSV U21 23%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.68
Draw13%fair 7.69 · @4.33
Jong PSV U2123%fair 4.26 · @4.10
3.58Expected goals
2.30Almere City FC xG
1.28Jong PSV U21 xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.3 – 1.3 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.35
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Almere City FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Almere City FC – last 6
DLWWLL
8 Aug
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Emmen
0–4
L
25 Jul
vs FC OSS
8–4
W
15 Jul
vs FC Volendam
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
8 Jul
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
WLLLWW
10 Aug
vs FC Volendam
3–2
W
18 Jul
vs KRC Genk II
2–4
L
24 Apr
@ Waalwijk
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Jong AZ
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs VVV Venlo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Jong PSV U21.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Jong PSV U21 23%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21?
Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
