Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Waalwijk v Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie, played at Mandemakers Stadion. In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Dordrecht are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waalwijk, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitesse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Dordrecht, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong Ajax, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Dordrecht, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Waalwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 1.8 xG, Dordrecht 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 63%, draw 14%, Dordrecht 23%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Waalwijk to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 1–0 Dordrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waalwijk63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @3.80
Dordrecht23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
2.78Expected goals
1.84Waalwijk xG
0.94Dordrecht xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 1.8 – 0.9 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.50
Draw no bet
Waalwijk (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Dordrecht +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Waalwijk to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Waalwijk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Waalwijk – last 6
DWLLDD
7 Aug
@ Vitesse
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Kifisia
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Patro Eisden
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Bochum II
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Kozakken Boys
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Jong AZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
WLDWWL
7 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs RSC Anderlecht II
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Lusail City
5–0
W
14 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund II
4–1
W
11 Jul
vs Excelsior
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Dordrecht.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Dordrecht 23%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 1–0 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs Dordrecht?
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
