Heracles vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles welcome Den Bosch to Asito Stadium for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 14 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Heracles are 16th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heracles, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over VVV Venlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Den Bosch, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Almere City FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Den Bosch, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Heracles.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.5 xG, Den Bosch 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 61%, draw 21%, Den Bosch 18%.
Lower-risk option: Heracles or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heracles61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.40
Den Bosch18%fair 5.51 · @5.10
3.89Expected goals
2.52Heracles xG
1.37Den Bosch xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.5 – 1.4 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Heracles -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.25
First team to score
Heracles to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Heracles – last 6
WLWLLL
7 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
4–3
W
24 Jul
vs Excelsior
3–5
L
8 Jul
vs Groningen
2–1
W
17 May
vs Groningen
1–2
L
3 May
@ PEC Zwolle
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs FC Volendam
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 6
DWWDWL
8 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Al-Fayha
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Lusail City
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ FC Eindhoven
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Quick Boys
3–1
W
2 May
@ Almere City FC
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Den Bosch.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Heracles vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Heracles have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Den Bosch 18%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Den Bosch?
Heracles vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
