Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNAC Breda to win ✗63% · @1.45
Double chanceNAC Breda or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: NAC Breda v VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie, played at Rat Verlegh Stadion. In the table, NAC Breda are 13th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NAC Breda, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC OSS, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Heracles, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours NAC Breda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for VVV Venlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NAC Breda 2.7 xG, VVV Venlo 1.4 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NAC Breda 63%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo 17%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NAC Breda 2–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NAC Breda63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.75
VVV Venlo17%fair 6.03 · @5.80
4.12Expected goals
2.70NAC Breda xG
1.42VVV Venlo xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.7 – 1.4 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
NAC Breda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.25
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
NAC Breda – last 6
WLWWLW
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Lokeren-Temse
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Excelsior
1–3
L
15 Jul
@ Hoek
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
LLLLWD
7 Aug
vs Heracles
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs AS Eupen
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Köln
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Viktoria Köln
3–5
L
18 Jul
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ De Treffers
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VVV Venlo 17%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 2–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo?
NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
