FC Eindhoven 64%Draw 15%MVV 21%Expected goals 1.78 – 0.84
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: FC Eindhoven to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Eindhoven to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
FC Eindhoven vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MVV travel to face FC Eindhoven on Friday 14 August in the Eerste Divisie, with Jan Louwers Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Eindhoven are 5th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Eindhoven, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jong AZ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
MVV, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong Utrecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Eindhoven 1.8 xG, MVV 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Eindhoven 64%, draw 15%, MVV 21%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: FC Eindhoven to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Eindhoven 1–0 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Eindhoven64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @3.95
MVV21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
2.62Expected goals
1.78FC Eindhoven xG
0.84MVV xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Eindhoven 1.8 – 0.8 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Eindhoven to win✗
64%
1.57
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.45
Draw no bet
FC Eindhoven (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.25
First team to score
FC Eindhoven to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
FC Eindhoven ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Eindhoven / FT FC Eindhoven✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
FC Eindhoven – last 6
WLLLDD
10 Aug
@ Jong AZ
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ SK Beveren
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ KRC Genk II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Den Bosch
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Willem II
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
WDLLDD
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Patro Eisden
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ KAA Gent II
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs SK Beveren
3–4
L
21 Jul
@ EVV
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Eindhoven and MVV.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs MVV?
On our numbers FC Eindhoven have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and MVV 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs MVV?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Eindhoven vs MVV?
Our predicted score is FC Eindhoven 1–0 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Eindhoven vs MVV?
FC Eindhoven vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Jan Louwers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
