Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the J1 League brings Cerezo Osaka against Kawasaki Frontale at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Kawasaki Frontale are 4th (among the top four) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Gainare Tottori, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kawasaki Frontale, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Jubilo Iwata, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.4 xG, Kawasaki Frontale 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 40%, draw 21%, Kawasaki Frontale 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerezo Osaka40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Kawasaki Frontale39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
2.78Expected goals
1.40Cerezo Osaka xG
1.38Kawasaki Frontale xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.4 – 1.4 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Kawasaki Frontale +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WDWWDL
14 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
2–0
W
29 Sep
@ Fujieda MYFC
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–6
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kawasaki Frontale – last 6
WLWWDW
14 Oct
@ Jubilo Iwata
4–0
W
11 Oct
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–0
W
29 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Kashima
3–3
D
12 Sep
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kawasaki Frontale 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
V-varen Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus3