Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the J1 League brings Kashima against V-varen Nagasaki at Mercari Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Công An Nhân Dân, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with JEF United Chiba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.3 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 61%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 17%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
V-varen Nagasaki17%fair 5.76 · @5.50
3.44Expected goals
2.28Kashima xG
1.16V-varen Nagasaki xG
60%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.3 – 1.2 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
WWWDWL
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Newcastle Jets
7–1
W
11 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
DDLDWW
11 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Kochi United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Kashima have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and V-varen Nagasaki 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
Nagoya Grampus3