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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-pulse

LWDWW
2–2
FT

Gamba Osaka

WLDWL
Shimizu S-pulse 45%Draw 23%Gamba Osaka 32% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.00
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka in the J1 League, played at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Gamba Osaka are 5th (upper half) with 28.

Current form

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yokohama F. Marinos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Gamba Osaka, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Newcastle Jets, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 Gamba Osaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 45%, draw 23%, Gamba Osaka 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shimizu S-pulse45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Gamba Osaka32%fair 3.13 · @3.00
2.28Expected goals
1.28Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.00Gamba Osaka xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 – 1.0 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗45%2.212.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.70
Draw no betShimizu S-pulse (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapGamba Osaka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreShimizu S-pulse to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

LWDWWW
14 Oct@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–2L
11 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock2–1W
7 Octvs V-varen Nagasaki1–1D
29 Sep@ Kanazawa2–0W
19 Sepvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
12 Sepvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gamba Osaka – last 6

WLDWLW
13 Oct@ Newcastle Jets3–1W
9 Oct@ Kashima0–2L
3 Oct@ Kashiwa Reysol3–3D
23 Sepvs Tokushima Vortis5–0W
20 Sepvs Vissel Kobe0–1L
15 Sepvs Công An Nhân Dân4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka1–2
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT JEF United Chiba0 Yokohama F. Marinos0 116%3.50X26%3.30258%1.95 0.9–1.8xG X2Yokohama F. Marinos or draw 84%@1.29 ✓
FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima3 Kyoto Sanga0 166%1.35X21%4.80214%7.00 2.2–0.9xG 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 FC Tokyo4 112%5.00X22%3.50266%1.67 0.6–1.8xG 2FC Tokyo to win 66%@1.67 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka2 Kawasaki Frontale4 140%2.75X21%3.40239%2.30 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.44 ✓
FT Kashima2 V-varen Nagasaki0 161%1.50X21%4.00217%5.50 2.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.73 ✗
FT Mito Hollyhock0 Urawa1 129%3.50X23%3.10248%2.00 1.5–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.75 ✗
FT Kashiwa Reysol1 Nagoya Grampus3 162%1.57X20%4.00217%4.80 2.2–1.1xG 1Kashiwa Reysol to win 62%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gamba Osaka 32%.

How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.